Interviewer: Professor David McCoy,
thank you very much for taking the time to
do this interview with us today to
discuss the possible strategies for
exiting the current pandemic lockdown.
Let me start by asking you about
the current context of the lockdown.
The rate of infection in the UK, or at
least that which we've seen from official
figures, seems to have flattened
over the past four to five weeks,
suggesting that the lockdown
is indeed working.
What further conditions
should guide the scale and
pace of lifting this lockdown in the UK?
Prof. McCoy: I think probably
the most important factor is the current
We need to determine exactly
how well lockdown has been
able to reduce the reproduction
rate of infection.
Currently we think it's below 1
across the country as a whole, but
there are regional variations that
need to be looked at as well.
There is still, however,
transmission of COVID occurring at quite
high rates in care homes, and
also we think in the hospital setting,
so there are hotspots that continue
to see transmission of COVID that
we need to look at and try and reduce
ongoing transmission in those areas.
The other really important
factor is the existence or
presence of alternative
disease control measures,
this includes having
the capacity to do testing so
that we can detect new
cases as they arise, and
being able to ensure that there are good
contact tracing systems in place,