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Printable Handouts
Navigable Slide Index
- Introduction
- Capital structure decisions
- Book and market average for US firms over time
- Capital structures in the real world
- Trade-off theory
- Benefits and costs of debt
- Variation in leverage ratios
- Trade-off theory predictions
- Analysis using data from US firms 1950-2003
- Leverage and profitability
- Debt and equity issuers - profitability sorts
- Magnitudes of financing activity
- Tradeoff theory - rebalancing
- How fast are the adjustment speeds?
- Speed of adjustment
- Pecking order theory
- Financing hierarchy of the pecking order
- Pecking order hierarchy
- Financing deficit
- Pecking order model of capital structure testing
- Corporate cash flows - data
- Corporate cash flows - plotted data
- Empirical tests of the pecking order
- Pecking order regressions - more recent period
- Subsamples - young, high growth firms
- Pecking order regressions - more subsamples
- Pecking order tests for size groups
- Leverage regressions with deficit
- Summary
- Market timing theory
- Conclusions
This material is restricted to subscribers.
Topics Covered
- Capital structure
- Leverage
- Corporate financing
- Taxes
- Financial flexibility
- Bankruptcy costs
- Trade-off theory
- Agency costs
- Costs of financial distress
- Target debt ratios
- Leverage
- Profitability puzzle
- Debt rebalancing
- Mean reversion
- Partial adjustment
- Pecking order theory
- Financing hierarchy
- Information asymmetry
- Market timing theory
Talk Citation
Goyal, V.K. (2016, December 29). Traditional theories of capital structure: trade-off versus pecking order [Video file]. In The Business & Management Collection, Henry Stewart Talks. Retrieved October 12, 2024, from https://doi.org/10.69645/WAUI7216.Export Citation (RIS)
Publication History
Traditional theories of capital structure: trade-off versus pecking order
Transcript
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0:00
My name is Vidhan Goyal,
I am a Professor of Finance,
at the Hong Kong University
of Science and Technology.
And today, I will be talking about
"Traditional Theories
of Capital Structure:
Trade-off versus Pecking Order".
0:13
This talk looks at, how firms make
their financing decisions?
How do they choose
their capital structures?
How do they decide
between the mix of financing?
How much debt
and how much equity to have?
And the deeper question
that we are asking here is,
why have firms got into where they are?
Whether firms did so
because they wanted to save on taxes,
avoid showing equity,
retain financial flexibility,
time the market, etc.
So really what we are interested
in learning is,
why do firms make those choices
that they do make?
What's driving
their financing decisions?
0:48
Let me show you some data.
Here is a plot of how leverage looks
for US firms over a long period of time.
So what we are plotting here is
the ratio of debt over debt plus equity
for US firms over the 1971-2013 period.
Now one thing you would notice
from the plot is that
the average leverage of US firms
appears fairly stationary.
The average is about 36%.
It doesn't explode,
it doesn't go down a lot,
it doesn't go up a lot.
It stays around close to 35%-36%
and that's the average for US firms.
The median firm has about 30% debt,
70% equity so they are roughly...
you know, using one-third debt financing
to finance their assets,
and two-thirds equity.
So in general, leverage appears
to be fairly conservative,
roughly two out of every five firms
have an average debt
to capital ratio of less than 20%.
So a lot of US firms appear to be...
what some people would say under levered
or have little debt
and a lot of equity.
But in general, firms do use some debt.
Most typical firms use a lot of debt,
but not nearly enough.
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