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1. Introduction
2. Overview
3. Transnational crime
4. Six key security challenges (UN panel 2004)
5. Transnational crime: recipe for success
6. Organized crime threat assessments
7. Preliminary observations
8. Illustrating transnational crime anticipation
9. Approaches for assessing organized crime
10. European approach to assess organized crime
11. Preparation of the investigative environment (PIE)
12. PIE analytical process
13. PIE watch list
14. 'Chance favors the prepared mind' (Louis Pasteur)
15. Example: July 2001
16. FBI - long-term forecasting strategy
17. Global drivers - communications revolution
18. Global driver - global demographic changes
19. FBI threat-based planning cycle
20. Anticipation of transnational crime
21. Organizational pathologies of intelligence systems
22. The ideal law enforcement response
23. Anticipation vs. forecasting (1)
24. Anticipation vs. forecasting (2)
25. Anticipation
26. William and Godson: political model no.1
27. William and Godson: political model no.2
28. William and Godson: political model no.3
29. William and Godson: political model no.4
30. Traditional vs. alternative analysis
31. Further utilization of intelligence
32. Lateral thinking and anticipation
33. Organizational learning
34. Process of organizational learning
35. Learning and effective change
36. Discernment of terrorist learning
37. Factors effecting the success of a terrorist group
38. Direct links: terrorist watch lists
39. One degree of separation (1)
40. One degree of separation (2)
41. One degree of separation (3)
42. One degree of separation (4)
43. One degree of separation (5)
44. Two degrees of separation
45. Conclusion
46. Thank you

Topics Covered

• Nature, variety and complexity of cross-border crime
• Strategic focus
• Types of crime
• Types of transnational crime groups
• Reducing harm
• Reducing operational capacity, scope and effectiveness
• Terrorism: convergence and modes of anticipation

Links

Series:

• Combatting Transnational Crime

Categories:

• Global Business Management

Talk Citation

Publication History

• Published on November 3, 2008
• Archived on April 3, 2022