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Printable Handouts
Navigable Slide Index
- Introduction
- Key points
- Main tasks
- Assemble data set
- Choose estimation methodology: 'VaR trinity'
- Non-parametric methods
- Example: estimating HS VaR (1)
- Example: estimating HS VaR (2)
- HS VaR from cumulative histogram
- Advantages of NP approaches
- Disadvantages of NP approaches
- Parametric approaches
- Implementing parametric approaches
- Example: normal VaR (1)
- Example: normal VaR (2)
- Pros/cons of normality
- Fat-tailed distribution
- NP vs. parametric approaches
- Monte Carlo (MC) methods
- Usefulness of MC methods
- MCS with single risk factor (1)
- MCS with single risk factor (2)
- Euler method
- Alternative to Euler method (1)
- Alternative to Euler method (2)
- Using MCS to estimate RMs
- Example: Black-Scholes call VaR
- Generating 'random' numbers
- Advantages of MCS methods
- MCS: conclusions
- Estimating expected shortfall
- How to estimate ES?
- Example: N(0,1), n=10
- Average tail VaR method
- Outstanding issues (1)
- Outstanding issues (2)
- References
Topics Covered
- Defining a risk model
- Assembling data
- Non-parametric estimation methods
- Parametric estimation methods
- Monte Carlo simulation methods
Talk Citation
Dowd, K. (2007, October 1). Estimating risk models [Video file]. In The Business & Management Collection, Henry Stewart Talks. Retrieved December 26, 2024, from https://doi.org/10.69645/PIOB2637.Export Citation (RIS)