• View the Talks
• 46 min
  1. Introduction to the Henry Stewart Talks organizational behavior series

  • Prof. Ramon J. Aldag
• 51 min
  2. The role of personality at work

  • Prof. Murray R. Barrick
• 20 min
  3. Job attitude - work behavior relationships

  • Prof. Thomas Lee
• 66 min
  4. Attribution theory in the organizational sciences

  • Prof. Mark J. Martinko
• 46 min
  5. Decision making 1

  • Prof. Ramon J. Aldag
• 41 min
  6. Decision making 2

  • Prof. Ramon J. Aldag
• 48 min
  7. Impression management: a dramaturgical perspective

  • Prof. William L. Gardner
• 24 min
  8. Creativity

  • Prof. Christina E. Shalley
• 26 min
  9. Work motivation: definition, purpose, and relevance

  • Prof. Alex Stajkovic
• 29 min
  10. Moods and emotions at work

  • Prof. Cynthia D. Fisher
• 32 min
  11. Building trust through leader communication

  • Prof. Pam Shockley-Zalabak
• 61 min
  12. Job design

  • Prof. Yitzhak Fried
• 32 min
  13. Fairness in organizations

  • Prof. Maureen Ambrose
• 48 min
  14. Positive organizational behavior

  • Dr. Suzanne J. Peterson
• 41 min
  15. Diversity management

  • Prof. Carol T. Kulik
• 24 min
  16. Compassion at work

  • Dr. Jacoba Lilius
• 48 min
  17. Stress at work

  • Prof. James Campbell Quick
  • Prof. Debra L. Nelson
• 41 min
  18. Business ethics

  • Prof. Robert Folger
• 17 min
  19. Empowering leadership

  • Dr. Gary Yukl
• 41 min
  20. Power and politics in organizations

  • Dr. Darren Treadway
• 37 min
  21. Organizational politics

  • Dr. Christopher C. Rosen
• 20 min
  22. Managing conflict constructively

  • Prof. Dean Tjosvold
• 54 min
  23. Recent developments in organizational culture and climate research

  • Prof. Neal Ashkanasy
• 44 min
  24. Leading organizational change 1

  • Prof. Randall B. Dunham
• 45 min
  25. Leading organizational change 2

  • Prof. Randall B. Dunham

Printable Handouts

PDF

Navigable Slide Index

1. Introduction
2. Use of models: some key controversies
3. Clinical vs. actuarial judgment
4. The clinical approach
5. The actuarial approach
6. Evidence regarding clinical judgment
7. Example - red Bordeaux wine auctions
8. Comparison of clinical and actuarial judgment
9. Findings from 100 studies
10. The ethics of use of actuarial approaches
11. Why do we continue to use clinical judgment?
12. Proper and improper linear models
13. Models of man
14. Evidence regarding models of man
15. Clinical synthesis
16. Effectiveness of clinical synthesis (1)
17. Effectiveness of clinical synthesis (2)
18. Encouraging the use of clinical synthesis
19. Free lunches and nudges
20. Dan Ariely – Predictably Irrational
21. Ariely’s position (1)
22. Ariely’s position (2)
23. Thaler and Sunstein
24. Nudge introduction
25. When “nudges” are needed
26. Costs now – benefits later
27. Benefits now – costs later
28. Knowing what you like
29. The fun theory
30. Statistical groups and prediction markets
31. Statistical groups
32. Evidence of statistical group accuracy
33. Prediction markets
34. Some popular prediction markets
35. The Iowa electronic market
36. Intrade’s Oscar picks
37. Internal company prediction markets
38. Google’s prediction market
39. Best Buy’s prediction market
40. A prediction market for terrorism futures
41. Concluding comments
42. Suggestions for additional reading (1)
43. Suggestions for additional reading (2)

Topics Covered

• Clinical Decision Making, Actuarial Models, and Clinical Synthesis
• Proper and Improper Linear Models
• Models of Man
• Choice Architecture
• Paternalistic Intervention
• Free Lunches and Nudges
• Statistical Groups
• Prediction Markets
• Ethics in Decision Making

Links

Series:

• Organizational Behavior

Categories:

• Management, Leadership & Organisation

Talk Citation

Publication History

• Published on August 7, 2014