• View the Talks
• 45 min
  1. Making decisions

  • Prof. J. Edward Russo
• 32 min
  2. Improving decisions under uncertainty 1

  • Prof. John W. Payne
• 67 min
  3. Improving decisions under uncertainty 2

  • Prof. John W. Payne
• 41 min
  4. Scenario planning

  • Prof. Paul J. H. Schoemaker
• 61 min
  5. Decision analysis

  • Prof. Robert Clemen
• 39 min
  6. Intuition and decision making

  • Prof. Robin M. Hogarth
• 58 min
  7. Decisions in high stress environments

  • Dr. Gary Klein
• 28 min
  8. Group decision making

  • Prof. John S. Carroll
• 52 min
  9. Decision making in organizations

  • Prof. Michael A. Roberto
• 37 min
  10. Cultural differences in decision making

  • Prof. Elke Weber
• 48 min
  11. Decisions about money

  • Prof. Thomas Gilovich

Printable Handouts

PDF

Navigable Slide Index

1. Introduction
2. Levels of strategic planning
3. Thanks to scenario planning
4. Reframe uncertainty as positive
5. Expand your tool kit
6. Scenario planning
7. How to profit from uncertainty
8. GM's mental model (circa 1968)
9. What scenarios are
10. Applying the concepts in practice
11. Building blocks for scenarios
12. The future of credit unions
13. Basic scenario matrix
14. Two dimensions of uncertainty
15. Scenario development process
16. Defining trends and uncertainties
17. Trends and uncertainties for your business
18. Scenario 2x2 matrix
19. Scenario blueprint example
20. Scenario highlights example
21. Scenario highlights template
22. Scenario likelihood and preparedness
23. Scenario 2x2 matrix- future of cancer care 2025
24. Template- scenario likelihood and preparedness
25. Example: key success factor (KSF) matrix
26. Monitoring the cone
27. Monitor and scan for more vigilantly
28. Monitoring the outside world
29. Scenario monitors
30. Scenario planning references

Topics Covered

• Managing uncertainty
• Scenario planning
• Flexible strategies
• Robust solutions
• Options planning
• Peripheral vision
• Dynamic monitoring
• Dashboards

Links

Series:

• Making Decisions

Categories:

• Management, Leadership & Organisation
• Strategy

Talk Citation

Publication History

• Published on January 26, 2012