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1. Introduction
2. Improving decisions under uncertainty
3. Objectives for the talk
4. Making decisions about uncertain futures
5. The classic decision tree structure
6. Dealing with uncertain events
7. Influence diagram
8. Two types of "known" uncertain events
9. Assess knowledge of the known unknowns
10. An example of a verbal probability difficulty
11. Two measures of belief

Topics Covered

• Making decisions about uncertain futures
• The classic decision tree structure
• Dealing with uncertain events
• Influence diagram
• "Known" uncertain events
• Assess knowledge of the known unknowns
• Two measures of belief

Links

Series:

• Making Decisions

Categories:

• Management, Leadership & Organisation

Talk Citation

Publication History

• Published on September 27, 2011