• View the Talks
• 45 min
  1. Making decisions

  • Prof. J. Edward Russo
• 32 min
  2. Improving decisions under uncertainty 1

  • Prof. John W. Payne
• 67 min
  3. Improving decisions under uncertainty 2

  • Prof. John W. Payne
• 41 min
  4. Scenario planning

  • Prof. Paul J. H. Schoemaker
• 61 min
  5. Decision analysis

  • Prof. Robert Clemen
• 39 min
  6. Intuition and decision making

  • Prof. Robin M. Hogarth
• 58 min
  7. Decisions in high stress environments

  • Dr. Gary Klein
• 28 min
  8. Group decision making

  • Prof. John S. Carroll
• 52 min
  9. Decision making in organizations

  • Prof. Michael A. Roberto
• 37 min
  10. Cultural differences in decision making

  • Prof. Elke Weber
• 48 min
  11. Decisions about money

  • Prof. Thomas Gilovich

Printable Handouts

PDF

Navigable Slide Index

1. Introduction
2. Improving decisions under uncertainty
3. Objectives for the talk
4. Making decisions about uncertain futures
5. The classic decision tree structure
6. Dealing with uncertain events
7. Influence diagram
8. Two types of "known" uncertain events
9. Assess knowledge of the known unknowns
10. An example of a verbal probability difficulty
11. Two measures of belief

Topics Covered

• Making decisions about uncertain futures
• The classic decision tree structure
• Dealing with uncertain events
• Influence diagram
• "Known" uncertain events
• Assess knowledge of the known unknowns
• Two measures of belief

Links

Series:

• Making Decisions

Categories:

• Management, Leadership & Organisation

Talk Citation

Publication History

• Published on September 27, 2011