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Practice paper

How county/city emergency managers can assess vulnerability to hurricanes, develop response plans and mitigate risk

John L. Guiney
Journal of Business Continuity & Emergency Planning, 2 (1), 92-109 (2007)
https://doi.org/10.69554/FKLZ6596

Abstract

After a quiet two decades of tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin, the last decade has shown a marked increase in activity and resultant damage. Coincident with this is the upward trend in coastal population along the hurricaneprone coastline of theUSA from Maine to Texas. Preparedness and planning are therefore essential to minimise the impact of these powerful and destructive storms. This paper provides a framework for the environmental hazard portion of an effective risk and vulnerability assessment process which involves identifying potential hazards and evaluating the relative risks with respect to community/business infrastructure. Through this process, emergency planners can obtain a firm understanding of the relationship between the hazards and risk factors to develop effective mitigation strategies. A review of tropical cyclone basics is presented along with an overview of the hurricane forecast process and hurricane hazards. Several risk and vulnerability assessment process tools are discussed to assist emergency managers/planners in developing hurricane response plans. The paper concludes with a review of hurricane preparedness concepts and provides information on pre-hurricane season activities, along with watch and warning, and post-hurricane actions.

Keywords: hurricanes; preparedness; response plans; vulnerability assessment

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Author's Biography

John L. Guiney is Chief of the Meteorological Services Division for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA)/National Weather Service Eastern Region. He oversees the meteorological services provided by the region’s weather forecast offices and aviation centre weather service units. Previously he was Warning Coordination Meteorologist and Hurricane Specialist at the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida. In this role he provided tropical cyclone forecasts for the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, served as the Lead Instructor for the DHS/FEMA hurricane preparedness courses, and presented papers at international conferences, workshops and public lectures. Mr Guiney holds a bachelor of science degree in meteorology from the State University of New York at Oswego and a masters of science degree in fluid dynamics from New York University. He is also a graduate of Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government Senior Executive Fellows programme.

Citation

Guiney, John L. (2007, October 1). How county/city emergency managers can assess vulnerability to hurricanes, develop response plans and mitigate risk. In the Journal of Business Continuity & Emergency Planning, Volume 2, Issue 1. https://doi.org/10.69554/FKLZ6596.

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cover image, Journal of Business Continuity & Emergency Planning
Journal of Business Continuity & Emergency Planning
Volume 2 / Issue 1
© Henry Stewart
Publications LLP

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