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Practice paper

From gut feel to smart prioritisation: Building an artificial intelligence opportunity scoring model that sales teams actually use

Laura Murphy, Georgi Bachvarov and Xenia Cotlearova
Applied Marketing Analytics: The Peer-Reviewed Journal, 11 (3), 231-245 (2025)
https://doi.org/10.69554/EBOQ9169

Abstract

In business-to-business (B2B) sales environments, the use of intuition and manual lead qualification methods over data-driven techniques frequently results in missed revenue opportunities, inefficient use of scarce resources and, ultimately, revenue leakage. This paper presents a hybrid artificial intelligence (AI) approach to predictive opportunity scoring that addresses the technical, organisational and cultural challenges commonly faced by B2B firms, such as low conversion rates and misaligned sales and marketing efforts due to poor data quality and inconsistent lead management. Emphasising interpretability, stakeholder engagement and incremental deployment, the approach integrates machine learning with domain expertise to deliver measurable gains in sales performance, forecasting accuracy and cross-functional alignment. Drawing on a real-world case study in B2B manufacturing, the paper outlines practical strategies for implementing predictive scoring with imperfect data, fostering adoption among sales teams, and aligning marketing and sales departments through a shared, data-driven framework. The results show that even with imperfect data and dispersed global teams, a well-managed predictive scoring initiative can increase win rates and deliver tangible return on investment, offering B2B organisations a scalable and effective path toward transforming lead qualification into a strategic growth engine. This article is also included in The Business & Management Collection which can be accessed at https://hstalks.com/ business/.

Keywords: B2B sales; predictive analytics; lead scoring; opportunity scoring; sales forecasting; marketing analytics

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Author's Biography

Laura Murphy is the co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Amplify Analytix. A former head of business transformation in international markets at Philips, Laura specialises in helping organisations embrace the benefits of artificial intelligence to improve commercial performance.

Georgi Bachvarov is a seasoned senior business professional with more than 14 years of experience in analytics, IT and financial services. An expert in customer relationship management analytics, lead and opportunity management, pricing and performance, Georgi specialises in helping industrial business-to-business companies understand their customers in a data-informed way and deliver relevant and personalised experiences.

Xenia Cotlearova is a marketing strategist with extensive experience in business-to-business industries, including advanced analytics, software as a service, and professional services. She specialises in translating complex technical concepts into clear, actionable insights for business audiences, bridging the gap between data science and commercial storytelling.

Citation

Murphy, Laura, Bachvarov, Georgi and Cotlearova, Xenia (2025, December 1). From gut feel to smart prioritisation: Building an artificial intelligence opportunity scoring model that sales teams actually use. In the Applied Marketing Analytics: The Peer-Reviewed Journal, Volume 11, Issue 3. https://doi.org/10.69554/EBOQ9169.

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cover image, Applied Marketing Analytics: The Peer-Reviewed Journal
Applied Marketing Analytics: The Peer-Reviewed Journal
Volume 11 / Issue 3
© Henry Stewart
Publications LLP

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