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Analysing and modelling airport resilience: Robustness, vulnerability and recoverability
Journal of Airport Management,
15
(4),
361-389
(2021)
Abstract
Airports have been relatively frequently impacted by various internal and external disruptive events. These have generally affected their operations and consequently their regular/nominal performances. The level of nonaffected performances has indicated the resilience or robustness of airports to the impacts of disruptive events. Thanks to the undertaken contingency measures the time of recovering the affected performances to their regular/nominal level has been considered as recoverability, or rapidity. This paper develops a methodology for assessing the resilience of an airport affected by a given large-scale disruptive event. The methodology consists of models of resilience and models of indicators of the airport’s operational, economic, social and environmental performances used as the figures of merit for assessing resilience. The methodology is applied to assessing the resilience of a large European airport (London Heathrow) impacted by a large-scale global external disruptive event — the COVID-19 pandemic — as being specific compared to the others such as bad weather, terrorist threats/attacks, failures of the system components and the industrial actions of air transport industry staff. The results indicate that during both past short-term and future medium-term periods, the inherently mutually interrelated airport performances expressing losses of profits of the particular actors/stakeholders have and are expected to be significantly affected. Those expressing savings in costs/externalities have and are expected to only fragmentary compensate these profit and losses under given conditions.
Keywords: airport; resilience; performances; disruptive events; indicators; methodology
The full article is available to subscribers to the journal.
Author's Biography
Milan Janić PhD, is transport and traffic engineer and planner. At present, he is Research Professor at the University of Belgrade (Belgrade, Serbia) and Senior Adviser at the University of Maribor, Faculty of Logistics (Maribor, Slovenia). He used to be Senior Researcher at TU Delft (Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands), Senior Researcher and Leader of the Research Programmes at OTB Research Institute of TU Delft, Manchester Metropolitan University (UK), Loughborough University (UK) and Institute of Transport of the Slovenian Railways (Slovenia). Milan has been involved in more than one hundred national and international research, planning and consultancy projects. He has also published numerous papers in peer-reviewed scientific and professional journals and presented them at national and international scientific and professional conferences. In addition to contributing to many edited books, he has been the author of these books: ‘System Analysis and Modelling in Air Transport: Demand Capacity Quality of Services Economics and Sustainability’; ‘Landside Accessibility of Airports: Analysis Modelling Planning and Design’; ‘Transport Systems: Modelling Planning and Evaluation’; ‘Advanced Transport Systems: Analysis Modelling and Evaluation of Performances’; ‘Greening Airports: Advanced Technology and Operations’; ‘Airport Analysis, Planning and Design: Demand Capacity and Congestion’; ‘The Sustainability of Air Transportation: A Quantitative Analysis and Assessment’; and ‘Air Transport System Analysis and Modelling: Capacity, Quality of Services and Economics’. As well, he has been the coauthor of the book ‘Transportation Engineering: Theory Practice and Modelling’.
