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> Home  /  Marketing & Management  /  Series  /  Making Decisions  /  Talk Details
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Scenario planning
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    SPEAKER(S)

Prof. Paul J. H. Schoemaker - The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, USA

Paul J.H. Schoemaker is the founder and Executive Chairman of Decision Strategies International, Inc., a consulting and training firm specializing in strategic management, executive development and multi-media offerings. Dr. Schoemaker also serves as Research Director of the Mack Center for Technological Innovation at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, where he teaches decision making and strategy part-time. For over twelve years he was a full-time professor in the Graduate School of Business at the University of Chicago specializing in strategy and decision sciences. Dr. Schoemaker has written over 100 academic and applied papers, including multiple articles in the Harvard Business Review, MIT's Sloan Management review and Berkeley's California Management Review. He is the (co)-author of eight books including Decision Traps, Decision Sciences, Wharton On Managing Emerging Technologies, Winning Decisions, Profiting from Uncertainty, Peripheral Vision and Chips, Clones and Living Beyond 100, and Brilliant Mistakes. He serves on the Boards of several companies.

Talk Online Publication: Jan 2012

TOPICS COVERED IN SCENARIO PLANNING

Managing uncertainty - Scenario planning - Flexible strategies - Robust solutions - Options planning - Peripheral vision - Dynamic monitoring - Dashboards

How to cite this talk:
Schoemaker, P.J.H. (2012), "Scenario planning", in Russo, J.E. (ed.), Making Decisions: Getting it right the first time, The Marketing & Management Collection, Henry Stewart Talks Ltd, London (online at http://hstalks.com/go)

Direct talk access link:
http://hstalks.com/lib.php?t=HST134.3090_1_2&c=250

    DETAILED SLIDE INDEX

1. Introduction
2. Levels of strategic planning
3. Thanks to scenario planning
4. Reframe uncertainty as positive
5. Expand your tool kit
6. Scenario planning
7. How to profit from uncertainty
8. GM's mental model (circa 1968)
9. What scenarios are
10. Applying the concepts in practice
11. Building blocks for scenarios
12. The future of credit unions
13. Basic scenario matrix
14. Two dimensions of uncertainty
15. Scenario development process
16. Defining trends and uncertainties
17. Trends and uncertainties for your business
18. Scenario 2x2 matrix
19. Scenario blueprint example
20. Scenario highlights example
21. Scenario highlights template
22. Scenario likelihood and preparedness
23. Scenario 2x2 matrix- future of cancer care 2025
24. Template- scenario likelihood and preparedness
25. Example: key success factor (KSF) matrix
26. Monitoring the cone
27. Monitor and scan for more vigilantly
28. Monitoring the outside world
29. Scenario monitors
30. Scenario planning references
31. END